Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

204 tickers in Consumer Discretionary
Ranks this page's recent reports by score.
MGM Resorts International
MGM·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$45.66
Target$53.00
Return+16.1%
Aug 2, 2026

MGM Resorts combines the aggressive free cash flow yield of an asset-light monopoly with explosive digital optionality, though its massive fixed lease obligations demand flawless execution in a slowing macro environment.

Score
84
Starbucks Corporation
SBUX·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$105.25
Target$109.94
Return+4.5%
Aug 1, 2026

The 'Back to Starbucks' operational turnaround is driving explosive transaction growth and margin expansion, yet extreme valuation multiples demand patience before committing fresh capital.

Score
78
Carvana Co.
CVNA·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$61.92
Target$78.00
Return+26.0%
Aug 1, 2026

The company boasts a near-insurmountable logistics moat driving hyper-growth margins, but struggles with inventory procurement constraints in an elevated interest-rate environment.

Score
82
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
ORLY·Consumer Discretionary
A ★★★★Buy
Current$89.05
Target$110.00
Return+23.5%
Aug 1, 2026

Riding the massive tailwind of an aging vehicle fleet nationwide, it is devouring the market with an invincible hub-and-spoke logistics network, though the 28x multiple tax and second-half cost pressures serve as short-term speed bumps.

Score
85
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
CMG·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$34.24
Target$39.47
Return+15.3%
Aug 1, 2026

Chipotle boasts elite digital throughput and aggressive unit expansion, but intense margin pressure from labor inflation and consumer portion-size fatigue warrants a neutral near-term hold.

Score
79
Rush Enterprises, Inc.
RUSHA·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$79.93
Target$83.80
Return+4.8%
Aug 1, 2026

The unmatched >130% aftermarket absorption ratio provides a permanent profit floor during freight recessions, but the looming EPA 2027 regulatory cliff threatens to violently distort near-term sales cycles.

Score
78
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
HLT·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$322.43
Target$360.00
Return+11.7%
Jul 31, 2026

Hilton operates a flawless asset-light compounding machine generating massive cash flow via its 243M-member loyalty network, but a premium 28x EV/EBITDA multiple warrants a Hold.

Score
84
Ford Motor Company
F·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$14.86
Target$16.29
Return+9.6%
Jul 31, 2026

Ford offers a deeply undervalued, high-yield cash machine driven by dominant commercial fleet software and truck margins, but remains tethered to multibillion-dollar EV losses and legacy warranty risks that cap immediate upside.

Score
75
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
RCL·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$322.95
Target$356.00
Return+10.2%
Jul 31, 2026

While Royal Caribbean's unmatched mega-ship moat and 20% EPS growth targets justify its premium valuation, the cyclical threat facing its $23.4 billion debt load demands cautious entry.

Score
80
Service Corporation International
SCI·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$87.02
Target$92.40
Return+6.2%
Jul 31, 2026

An impenetrable demographic supercycle and aggressive share buybacks guarantee long-term compounding, but near-term volume stagnation from post-pandemic mortality normalization caps immediate multiple expansion.

Score
82
NVR, Inc.
NVR·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$6,414.67
Target$7,129.00
Return+11.1%
Jul 30, 2026

NVR's unparalleled land-light ROIC and aggressive buyback engine offer elite downside protection, but acute gross margin compression and rising lot costs demand patience before initiating new positions.

Score
76
Autoliv, Inc.
ALV·Consumer Discretionary
A ★★★★Buy
Current$124.11
Target$150.00
Return+20.9%
Jul 29, 2026

Autoliv is a heavily entrenched oligopoly leader generating massive cash flows and aggressively repurchasing shares, offering a deep value entry point despite short-term auto cycle turbulence.

Score
92
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
CAKE·Consumer Discretionary
A ★★★★Buy
Current$84.72
Target$96.00
Return+13.3%
Jul 29, 2026

The Cheesecake Factory offers a rare combination of deeply undervalued, impregnable flagship cash flows paired with the explosive, high-margin unit expansion of its Flower Child concept.

Score
89
Domino's Pizza, Inc.
DPZ·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$343.53
Target$428.00
Return+24.6%
Jul 28, 2026

Domino's leverages an unparalleled, highly profitable supply-chain and franchise moat trading at a steep historical discount, but is currently handcuffed by stagnant U.S. ticket growth, high debt leverage, and the operational uncertainty of an executive leadership transition.

Score
84
Tractor Supply Company
TSCO·Consumer Discretionary
C ★★Sell
Current$31.02
Jul 27, 2026

Tractor Supply possesses an impregnable real-estate moat and trades at cycle-low valuations, but negative store traffic, shattered management guidance, and a contracting rural consumer base make it a perilous falling knife.

Score
72
Visteon Corporation
VC·Consumer Discretionary
A ★★★★Buy
Current$103.75
Target$135.00
Return+30.1%
Jul 26, 2026

Visteon offers deep-value downside protection through its fortress balance sheet and massive $1B capital return program, though near-term top-line growth remains constrained by the stalling EV transition and sluggish global auto production.

Score
87
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
DECK·Consumer Discretionary
A ★★★★Buy
Current$96.04
Target$127.00
Return+32.2%
Jul 26, 2026

Expect relentless EPS compounding driven by HOKA's international expansion and massive share buybacks, though investors must stomach near-term volatility from tariff-driven margin compression and UGG patent vulnerabilities.

Score
93
Rollins, Inc.
ROL·Consumer Discretionary
C ★★Sell
Current$38.56
Jul 26, 2026

Rollins operates an elite, cash-gushing economic moat in essential pest control, but a structurally expensive valuation colliding with decelerating consumer demand, abrupt executive turnover, and shrinking operating margins creates a highly toxic near-term setup.

Score
64
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
LVS·Consumer Discretionary
B ★★★Hold
Current$46.03
Target$62.00
Return+34.7%
Jul 26, 2026

The enterprise combines the unparalleled cash-generation of the Marina Bay Sands duopoly with a massive $6.0 billion share repurchase program, but aggressive upside remains capped until mainland Chinese macroeconomic fatigue and Macau margin pressures decisively reverse.

Score
83
Packaging Corporation of America
PKG·Consumer Discretionary
C ★★Sell
Current$233.90
Jul 25, 2026

While Packaging Corporation of America boasts absolute record corrugated shipments and a brilliantly successful Greif acquisition, its near-term margin compression from soaring freight and fiber costs, combined with a historically rich valuation, severely limits any remaining upside potential.

Score
65
PulteGroup, Inc.
PHM·Consumer Discretionary
A ★★★★Buy
Current$126.75
Target$153.00
Return+20.7%
Jul 26, 2026

PulteGroup's structural transition to a high-ROE, land-light model and its aggressive share repurchases offer an impenetrable moat, though its immediate upside remains chained to the unpredictable volatility of 30-year mortgage rates.

Score
85