Cyclical

242 tickers in this investment thesis
Ranks this page's recent reports by score.
Ryder System, Inc.
R·Industrials
B ★★★Hold
Current$270.90
Target$289.00
Return+6.7%
Oct 25, 2026

Ryder's recurring logistics contracts and improving fleet economics support continued earnings growth, but elevated historical valuation multiples and cyclical equipment-financing risks limit the margin of safety.

Score
69
Newmont Corporation
NEM·Materials
A ★★★★Buy
Current$108.87
Target$119.00
Return+9.3%
Oct 25, 2026

Newmont offers strong gold-linked cash generation, a net cash balance sheet, and substantial shareholder returns at a reasonable valuation, although commodity-price volatility and major mine development commitments could pressure future earnings.

Score
83
Hilltop Holdings Inc.
HTH·Financials
B ★★★Hold
Current$36.36
Target$38.84
Return+6.8%
Oct 25, 2026

Hilltop's strong capital, disciplined buybacks, and established Texas banking franchise support long-term value, but weak consolidated ROE and persistent mortgage losses constrain its upside potential.

Score
66
Dow Inc.
DOW·Materials
B ★★★Hold
Current$32.61
Target$51.61
Return+58.3%
Oct 25, 2026

Dow offers cyclical upside from polyethylene margin recovery and restructuring-driven cash flow improvement, but volatile chemical demand, elevated leverage, and uncertain through-cycle returns limit investment conviction.

Score
68
American Airlines Group Inc.
AAL·Industrials
C ★★Sell
Current$12.11
Oct 25, 2026

American Airlines could benefit from premium travel growth and a cyclical fuel-cost recovery, but substantial leverage and weak free cash flow leave its earnings highly vulnerable to prolonged operating pressure.

Score
57
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
TCBI·Financials
C ★★Sell
Current$101.99
Oct 25, 2026

Texas Capital is improving profitability through stronger interest income, fee diversification, and buybacks, but its elevated tangible-book valuation and sensitivity to deposit funding and credit conditions constrain the investment appeal.

Score
64
Alcoa Corporation
AA·Materials
A ★★★★Buy
Current$37.91
Target$46.89
Return+23.7%
Oct 25, 2026

Alcoa offers discounted exposure to improving aluminum production efficiency and potential acquisition synergies, but commodity-price volatility and debt-financed expansion create meaningful risks to sustainable earnings.

Score
78
Packaging Corporation of America
PKG·Consumer Discretionary
C ★★Sell
Current$247.29
Oct 25, 2026

PCA combines integrated manufacturing scale, disciplined execution, and acquisition-driven growth opportunities, but elevated valuation multiples, higher debt, and cyclical packaging demand limit its investment appeal.

Score
63
Liberty Energy Inc.
LBRT·Energy
D ★Strong Sell
Current$15.59
Oct 24, 2026

Liberty Energy has a promising data-center power growth opportunity alongside its established completion-services franchise, but heavy capital spending, weak free cash flow, and execution risk undermine current investment attractiveness.

Score
50
First Bancorp
FBNC·Financials
B ★★★Hold
Current$64.44
Target$69.30
Return+7.5%
Oct 24, 2026

First Bancorp combines strong regional banking profitability, improving net interest margins, and acquisition-led expansion, but its tangible-book valuation premium, insider selling, and credit-cycle exposure limit near-term upside.

Score
74
BankUnited, Inc.
BKU·Financials
B ★★★Hold
Current$43.57
Target$46.92
Return+7.7%
Oct 24, 2026

BankUnited offers improving deposit economics, disciplined buybacks, and moderate earnings recovery potential at a reasonable valuation, but commercial credit exposure and suboptimal returns on equity limit upside conviction.

Score
73
Woodside Energy Group Ltd
WDS·Energy
B ★★★Hold
Current$23.66
Target$25.20
Return+6.5%
Oct 24, 2026

Woodside Energy offers resilient LNG assets, attractive dividends, and production growth from Scarborough, but capital-intensive expansion and commodity-price volatility constrain returns and valuation upside.

Score
67