Pegasystems Inc. PEGA ← Back to all reports

Pegasystems Inc.

PEGA · Technology
B ★★★ Hold
Aug 17, 2026 · Score 80 · Type A — Value-style analysis Used for established, cash-generative companies — weighs earnings power, valuation against the company's own history and peers, and margin of safety. Full methodology →
Current PriceThe market price around the time this report was written — not a live quote. The market has moved since; check a current price before acting.Methodology → $32.32
Buy ZoneThe large figure is the midpoint of the suggested buy range shown in parentheses. $29.00 ($26.00–$32.00)
Target PriceOur estimated fair value. For richly valued stocks it can sit below the current price — see Methodology.Methodology → $39.36
Expected Return
  • Target relative to the Current Price ((Target − Current) ÷ Current). Since that price is from the report date, your actual return will differ.
  • A negative figure isn't an error. For richly valued stocks, the fair-value target can sit below the current price, so the return reads negative. The grade reflects company quality; this figure reflects today's entry valuation.
Methodology →
+21.8%

Type A - Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) 20260817 Stock Analysis

📅 Pegasystems Key Upcoming Events

🏢 Step 1: Pegasystems Company Overview & Business Model

Q1-A1. What is Pegasystems?

Q1-A2. How Does Pegasystems Make Money?

Q1-A3. Pegasystems’s Revenue Segments & Core Income Sources

Q1-A4. Who Are Pegasystems’s Competitors?

Q1-A5. Pegasystems Key Events: Past 12 Months

Q1-A6. Step 1 Key Takeaways

🏰 Step 2: Pegasystems’s Economic Moat, Growth & Capital Allocation

Q2-A1. Does Pegasystems Have a Durable Economic Moat?

Q2-A2. Is Pegasystems’s Growth Sustainable?

Q2-A3. How Does Pegasystems Allocate Capital & Return Cash?

Q2-A4. Step 2 Key Takeaways

💰 Step 3: Is Pegasystems Profitable? Financial Health Analysis

Q3-A2. How Profitable Is Pegasystems? (Margins & ROIC)

Q3-A3. What Drives Pegasystems’s Returns? (ROIC Breakdown)

Q3-A4. Are Pegasystems’s Earnings High Quality?

Q3-A5. Is Pegasystems’s Balance Sheet Healthy? (Debt & Leverage)

Q3-A6. Step 3 Key Takeaways

🔎 Step 4: Pegasystems Forensic Accounting & Dilution Review

Q4-A1. Does Pegasystems Have Accounting Red Flags?

Q4-A2. Is Pegasystems Overspending? (Capex & Capital Cycle)

Q4-A3. How Sound Is Pegasystems’s Cash Flow?

Q4-A4. Is Pegasystems Diluting Shareholders?

Q4-A5. Data Integrity Check

Q4-A6. Step 4 Key Takeaways

👔 Step 5: Pegasystems Management & Shareholder Alignment

Q5-A1. Can You Trust Pegasystems’s Management? (Guidance Track Record)

Q5-A2. What Are Pegasystems Insiders Doing?

Q5-A3. Is Pegasystems’s Management Aligned With Shareholders?

Q5-A4. Step 5 Key Takeaways

⛵ Step 6: Pegasystems Market Flow & Sentiment

Q6-A1. Analyst Consensus vs Pegasystems Guidance

Q6-A2. What Is Pegasystems’s Short Interest?

Q6-A3. Step 6 Key Takeaways

🚀 Step 7: Pegasystems Catalysts & Price Triggers

Q7-A1. What Could Move Pegasystems Stock? (Top 3 Catalysts)

Q7-A2. Pegasystems’s Earnings Revision Trend

Q7-A3. Step 7 Key Takeaways

⚖️ Step 8: Is Pegasystems Fairly Valued? Valuation Analysis

Q8-A1. Pegasystems’s Key Valuation Multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA)

Q8-A2. Pegasystems vs Peers: Valuation Comparison

Q8-A3. Is Pegasystems Cheap or Expensive vs Its History?

Q8-A4. What Growth Is Priced Into Pegasystems? (Reverse DCF)

Q8-A4-1. What Growth Hurdle Does the Market Demand From Pegasystems? (Reverse DCF Alternative)

Q8-A5. Valuation Cross-Check

Q8-A6. Pegasystems’s Asset & Stake Valuation

Q8-A7. Final Valuation Adjustment

Q8-A8. Valuation Adjustment Score Calculation

💀 Step 9: What Are the Risks of Pegasystems? Fatal Risks & Pre-Mortem

Q9-A1. What Are the Biggest Risks to Pegasystems?

Q9-A2. How Sensitive Is Pegasystems to the Economy?

Q9-A3. Pegasystems Pre-Mortem: What Could Go Wrong?

Q9-A4. Risk Adjustment Score

🎯 Step 10: Pegasystems Final Verdict: Score & Rating

Q10-A1. Investment Score & Rating

Q10-A2. Should You Buy Pegasystems? (Recommendation)

Q10-A3. Investment Thesis in One Line

Q10-A4. Pegasystems’s Price Trend & Key Drivers

Q10-A5. Action Plan

🕵️‍♂️ Deep Dive Analysis

Q1: Is Pegasystems’s Slower ACV Growth Its Biggest Weakness?

Q2: Can Pegasystems’s 10.7x P/FCF Multiple Be Justified Amidst AI Disruption?

Q3: Will the Aggressive $1 Billion Share Repurchase Program Establish a Firm Price Floor?

Q4: How Severe Is the Appian Trade Secret Litigation Overhang?

Q5: Can the Pega GenAI Blueprint Overcome the Ongoing Sales Cycle Delays?

Q6: Does Pegasystems’s High Insider Selling Predict Further Fundamental Deterioration?

Q7: Will the FedRAMP Class D Certification Drive Meaningful Public Sector Revenue?

Q8: Is the Structural Decline of Maintenance Revenue a Long-Term Threat?

Q9: Can Pegasystems Maintain Its Stellar 68% ROIC Profile?

Q10: Does the Shift Away from Consulting Revenue Improve Earnings Quality?